While American sit on the edge of their seats wondering whether House Democrats will go forward with impeachment proceedings against President Trump, most American’s say that they expect that Trump will win re-election in 2020, according to a poll released last week.
The CNN poll conducted by SSRS revealed that 54% of Americans – including those who disapprove of his performance as president – believed that Trump would likely win in next year’s 2020 election. Just 41% of those polled said that they expect him to lose. This most recent number represents a considerable shift from last December when 51% of people said they believed Trump would be defeated in 2020.
The shift comes mostly from individuals who disapprove of the president. Last week’s poll also revealed that 67% of those who disapprove of the president said they thought he would lose –down from 81% of individuals from the same cohort who were polled seven months ago.
Although the Democrat’s desire to defeat Trump in 2020 certainly isn’t lacking in its voracity, many younger Democrats have expressed that they’re concerned more about policy issues of the Democratic presidential candidate.
In an entirely different poll that was also released last week – this time by Public Policy Institute of California – 48% of Democrats and left-leaning voters in California stated that it’s more important to vote for candidate who’s likely to defeat Trump, whereas 42% said that choosing a candidate whose views closely match their own is most important.
Of the individuals polled who were between 18 and 44 years-old, 51% reported having a preference for candidates who holds similar views to their own, compared to 52%
Of those ages 18 to 44, 51% said they would prefer a candidate with similar views, compared to 52% of those 45 and over who said they prefer a candidate who has the best chance at defeating Trump.
While Democrats are starkly split along age lines and by policy preferences, it remains entirely unclear as to whether it will affect voter turnout in the general election. Currently, former Vice President Joe Biden remains at the front of the pack among Democratic presidential hopefuls. Biden, who’s clearly to the right of candidates like Senator Elizabeth Warren and Senator Bernie Sanders, represents the Democratic party’s center-left, establishment wing.
Meanwhile – despite a growing economy – President Trump continues to garner low job performance ratings. According to the CNN/SSRS poll, those who disapprove of Trump cite his behavior as the reason why. The top reasons for disproval were lying at 13%, incompetence at 11%, and racism at 11%.